The North Carolina Legislature is taking action to address
climate change. But a bill passed last week has generated humor and
ridicule, including a segment by Stephen Colbert on “The Colbert
Report.”
As Colbert describes it, the bill would address the coming
crisis predicted by climate models by “outlawing the climate
models.” The bill, which has since passed the Senate, abandons the
idea of using actual predictions of sea level rise in the effort to
protect homes from flooding.
The North Carolina Legislature seems to be saying that it is too
inconvenient to believe that sea level may rise up to three feet,
so we’ll just set the maximum at 8 inches.
Colbert loves this approach:
“This is a brilliant solution. If your science gives you a
result you don’t like, pass a law saying that the result is
illegal. Problem solved.
“I think we should start applying this method to even more
things that we don’t want to happen. For example, I don’t want to
die…. If we consider only historical data, I have been alive my
entire life. Therefore, I always will be. And if you extrapolate my
life from the critical period of age 8 to 18, I will grow to be
over 20 feet tall. So I say, bravo, North Carolina.”
Straight-news reporter John Murawski describes the actual
effects of the bill in the
Winston-Salem Journal:
“The practical result of the legislation would be that for the
purposes of coastal development, local governments could only
assume that the sea level will rise 8 inches by 2100, as opposed to
the 39 inches predicted by a science panel….
“The legislation gives the state Coastal Resources Commission
sole responsibility for predicting the rate of sea-level rise to be
used as a basis for state and local regulations. The commission’s
15 members are appointed by the governor.
“But the legislation also defines how the Coastal Resources
Commission is to decide sea-level rates. Specifically, the law says
forecasts can be based on historical data only and can’t take into
account non-historical factors. The key factor that’s disqualified
is the belief that greenhouse gases are causing climate change and
speeding up glacier melts.”
Scott Huler, a blogger with
Scientific American, says the legislation is “exactly like
saying, do not predict tomorrow’s weather based on radar images of
a hurricane swirling offshore, moving west towards us with 60-mph
winds and ten inches of rain. Predict the weather based on the last
two weeks of fair weather with gentle breezes towards the
east.”
Huler says he wants North Carolina to pass a law declaring him a
billionaire and winner of the Pulitzer Prize with the good looks of
George Clooney. He continues:
“You think I’m kidding, but listen to me: I’m from North
Carolina, and that’s how we roll. We take what we want to be
reality, and we just make it law. So I’m having my state senator
introduce legislation writing into law all the stuff I mentioned
above. This is North Carolina, state motto: ‘Because that’s how I
WANT it to be.’”
Michael Yudell of the Philadephia
Inquirer says maybe the NC Legislature was inspired by
Superman’s Nemesis Lex Luther, who bought up thousands of acres of
land east of the San Andreas fault. Luther’s goal was to trigger an
earthquake to submerge coastal cities and leave him with valuable
waterfront property.
“Granted,” Yudell writes, “it may take 100 or more years for
their own diabolical plan to pay off, but if ice sheets keep
falling into the ocean, sea levels may rise faster than predicted
just a few years back… In other words, to hell with the science.
Let’s have an underwater beach party!”
With these moves, the North Carolina Legislature has formally
moved into the camp of those who cannot accept what climatologists
are telling them.
Among those who write about climate change, there’s an ongoing
debate about what to call these folks. Are they climate skeptics?
Climate denialists? Climate contrarians? Climate agnostics? Check
out Leo Hickman of
“The Guardian” for a discussion about these names.
It probably isn’t fair to lump everyone together. The one thing
these folks have in common is swimming upstream against mainstream
climatology. But their views are varied, and their members
include:
- those who flat-out deny that our climate is changing,
- those who believe that our climate is changing but don’t
believe humans are to blame,
- those who believe that climate is changing and humans are to
blame, but it’s too late and too expensive to do anything about it,
and
- those who believe that all mainstream scientists are liars, so
we should believe only the fringe scientists.
To end on a serious note, our society must find better ways of
reaching agreement on actions to address climate change. People are
not turning away from the findings of climatologists because they
are ignorant or fail to understand the methods of science. Rather
it is more of a problem of group thinking, as described by a study
reported in
Nature magazine. You can read the report, but here’s the final
conclusion:
“As citizens understandably tend to conform their beliefs about
societal risk to beliefs that predominate among their peers,
communicators should endeavor to create a deliberative climate in
which accepting the best available science does not threaten any
group’s values. Effective strategies include use of culturally
diverse communicators, whose affinity with different communities
enhances their credibility, and information-framing techniques that
invest policy solutions with resonances congenial to diverse
groups.”
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