The shift to “clean fuels,” such as solar and wind power, is
tied up in economics, and it appears that change is coming — with
or without a push from government. This week, I read three
different and somewhat contradictory reports about this dynamic
competition between fossil fuels and renewable energy.
I also took a look at the hard data surrounding Arctic sea ice
and reviewed videos of the governor’s orca task force meeting on
Monday.
Experts say it is possible, in the not-too-distant future, for
the United States to generate nearly all its electrical energy from
sources that do not produce climate-changing greenhouse gases. But
first some political and technical hurdles must be crossed.
In this week’s “Climate Sense,” I share some news articles that
I found noteworthy, as well as an interesting description of five
movies about climate change — including the one in the video player
here. Films can help bring about cultural change, as mentioned in a
review of five films about climate change (Item 6 at the
bottom).
Samantha Bee’s Halloween show last week is making a big splash
on the Internet. The underlying theme was climate change, and the
program cleverly makes a connection with this particular time of
year, when many people relish the experience of getting scared.
In one segment of the show, which is called “Full Frontal,”
singer-songwriter Ingrid Michaelson wears a picture of the Earth
while singing an altered version of her big hit “Be OK” (original
version). The revised song, called “Not OK,” addresses the
horrors of climate change.
As Michaelson sweetly sings about the dangers of an altered
climate, members of the “Full Frontal” cast dance around the stage,
representing hurricanes, storms, floods, burning trees and finally
an angry sun, as you can see in the first video.
Michaelson sings, “I am clearly not OK, not OK, not OK. Earth is
clearly not OK today. I’m getting warmer every day, every day,
every day. Climate change is Fu__ing me, oy vey!”
It’s tough to combine humor with a serious message, but
Michaelson’s new words on a tragic theme are made palatable by the
upbeat tune and the silly dancers.
One viewer commented on Michaelson’s Facebook
page that she had ruined a perfectly good song, but the vast
majority of her fans were delighted that she had found an amusing
way to weigh in on an important topic.
I guess something similar could be said for the entire show,
which I decided to go ahead and share on this blog post. Except for
the Michaelson segment, the videos are posted in the order they
appeared on the show. If you’re not familiar with this show, you
should be warned that the language can be coarse at times.
In another segment, more edgy than funny, Samantha Bee goes
after Scott Pruitt, administrator of the Environmental Protection
Agency, who has begun to reverse direction on President Obama’s
plans to move the United States away from coal and toward renewable
energy. She points out that before Pruitt became the head of the
EPA, he was one of the agency’s biggest enemies. As Oklahoma
attorney general, he sued the EPA 14 times, largely on behalf of
the oil and gas industry. While she can’t stop Pruitt’s
anti-regulatory approach, she thinks she can poke him in the eye by
demanding a public hearing.
In Act 3, called “(Hot as) Hell House,” Bee takes climate
deniers through a Halloween-style haunted house to see if she can
scare them into caring about climate change. The setting is 50
years from now, when the Earth is ruined, cockroaches are the only
food supply and people cannot escape the droning recitation of Al
Gore’s Ted Talk by a creepy John Hodgman. One climate skeptic said
the experience had changed her mind, but her reasoning — revealed
at the end — was quite amusing.
The haunted house scenes were filmed within the abandoned
Eastern State Penitentiary in Philadelphia, the site of Terror Behind the
Walls. It is said to be America’s largest haunted house, listed
as number 1 in the country by Forbes magazine.
If the U.S. government fails to take action on climate change, a
majority of Americans would like their states to pick up the ball
and run with it.
Some 66 percent of those participating in a national survey
agreed with the statement: “If the federal government fails to
address the issue of global warming, it is my state’s
responsibility to address the problem.”
Question: “Please
identify your level of agreement with the following statement … If
the federal government fails to address the issue of global
warming, it is my state’s responsibility to address the problem.”
(Click to enlarge)
Graphic: University of Michigan/Muhlenberg
College
Residents of Washington state appear to feel even stronger about
the need for state action, according to a survey by The Nature
Conservancy, which is preparing for a statewide initiative to be
placed on the 2018 general election ballot.
The
national survey, by two University of Michigan researchers,
demonstrates growing support among Americans for action on climate
change, despite very little action by Congress. The last time the
question was asked, in 2013, 48 percent of respondents wanted their
states to take action. The latest results show an 18-percent
increase in the number of people who support state action.
This and several other polls reveal growing concerns among
Americans about the negative effects of climate change on human
civilization as well as the environment.
Interestingly, the national survey was taken between April 17
and May 16 — before President Trump announced that he would
withdraw U.S. support for the Paris climate agreement, which
includes clear targets for greenhouse gas reductions. Respondents
may have been aware of Trump’s executive order in March to
dismantle former President Obama’s Clean Power Plan, which aims to
reduce carbon dioxide emissions from power plants.
Americans are still somewhat divided along party lines, with
Democrats more supportive of state action than Republicans. But the
latest national survey reveals that more Republicans may support
state action than not, at least within the survey’s margin of
error. The survey shows that 51 percent of Republicans believe that
states should step up to climate change, compared to 34 percent
four years ago.
Support among Democrats for state action went from 57 percent in
2013 to 77 percent this year.
Another survey taken after Trump was elected showed that nearly
two-thirds (62 percent) of the people who voted for him support
taxing or regulating greenhouse gas emissions, and nearly half (47
percent) agreed that the U.S. should support the Paris climate
agreement. See
“Trump Voters and Global Warming.”
I will return to the national perspective in a moment, but first
some almost-breaking news from Washington state, where The Nature
Conservancy on Monday filed three petitions for possible ballot
measures with the Secretary of State’s Office.
All three petitions deal with possible state actions on climate
change, but none of them are intended to be used for signature
gathering, according to Mo McBroom, government relations director
for TNC. The idea, Mo told me, is to see how the Attorney General’s
Office writes the ballot titles for the three measures, which is
what a voter would read on the ballot.
Polling of Washington state voters after the defeat of a
carbon-tax measure in last fall’s election showed that most voters
knew little about the content of Initiative 732 when they cast
their ballots. Also contributing to the confusion was the ballot
title itself, which mentioned taxes but failed to explain that
increased taxes on fossil fuels would be offset by reduced sales
and business taxes plus a tax rebate for low-income residents.
I should point out that a fair number of environmental groups
voiced opposition to the measure, in part because it failed to
provide money for clean-energy initiatives. And some worried that
the measure would add to state budget problems. More than anything,
the mixed messages probably killed the measure.
Now, all the environmental groups as well as business and
government supporters are hoping to come together around a single
initiative with a high likelihood of success, Mo told me. The
specifics of the real initiative are still under review, she said,
and one should glean nothing from the
three different proposals submitted this week. Once the details
are worked out, a final petition will be submitted next
January.
“The most important thing is that we are looking to build the
broadest base of support for solutions to climate change.,” Mo told
me. “Whether it is a carbon tax or fee or a regulatory structure,
it is about how we, as a society, make the investments that the
public wants.” For further discussion, read Mo’s blog entry posted
yesterday in Washington Nature
Field Notes.
Personally, I will be watching for the transportation aspects of
the coming initiative, since more than half of the greenhouse gas
emissions in Washington state involve the transportation sector —
and Mo acknowledged that incentives to encourage cleaner fuels will
be essential.
“We want to create an approach that is technology neutral,” she
said. “we’re not picking winners and losers. We are creating
innovate solutions.”
The Legislature has been struggling for months with Gov. Jay
Inslee’s
carbon tax proposal (PDF 801 kb). If something good comes out
of that process, Mo said, the initiative may not be needed.
Reporter Phuong Le reported on this issue for the
Associated Press.
According to
polling last fall (PDF 596 kb), 81 percent of Washington voters
believe climate change is happening; 62 percent believe it is
caused by human activities; and 69 percent support state action to
reduce carbon pollution. Support may be even higher today. The
survey was conducted by FM3 Research and Moore Information for The
Nature Conservancy and Vulcan.
The national survey by University of Michigan researchers this
spring showed that 70 percent of Americans across the country
believe that global warming is happening. Barry Rabe, one of the
researchers, told me that public opinion has ebbed and flowed
somewhat on this issue since these surveys were started in 2008.
See the graphic below, or check out the details on the
Brookings blog.
Question: From what
you’ve read and heard, is there solid evidence that the average
temperature on earth has been getting warmer over the past four
decades?
Graphic: University of Michigan/Muhlenberg
College
During the early years of former President Obama’s
administration beginning around 2009, “there was a very aggressive
effort by opposition groups that argued that climate change is a
hoax,” Rabe said. “That probably had an impact (on people’s
opinions).”
Now people seem to be returning to a stronger belief in climate
change and tending to support the understanding that humans are
responsible. Democrats and Republicans alike seem to feeling more
urgency to take action.
“This may be a case where political figures are at variance with
their base,” Rabe said, noting that most Republicans in Congress
are showing no inclination to address the issue. But even in some
conservative states, such as Texas and Kansas, state lawmakers are
doing more than ever to address climate change, in part because of
parallel economic interests involving renewable energy.
“Energy politics breaks down very differently depending on the
state you are in,” Rabe said.
From a national perspective, all eyes will be on Washington
state over the next year or two, as people throughout the country
watch to see how people here address climate change, Rabe said. A
lot of folks wondered about the rejection of the climate-change
initiative in what many view as a pro-environment state, he added.
People nationwide did not grasp the nuances of last fall’s vote,
but they are interested in what comes next.
Gov. Jay Inslee joined with the governors of California and New
York in signing onto a new U.S. Climate Alliance to help meet the
goals of the Paris agreement in light of Trump’s efforts to
withdraw from the pact. See Timothy Cama’s piece in
The Hill.
California and New York have already passed
climate-change-emissions legislation, Rave said, so people across
the country are wondering how Washington plans to meet its
commitment.
Mo McBroom of The Nature Conservancy said officials involved in
the climate-change issue in Washington state embrace the leadership
role that this state can play.
You don’t need to have a geyser in your backyard to benefit from
“geothermal” energy.
While superhot water from deep underground makes for a pretty
exciting story, it’s not the only way to go. Klamath Falls, Ore.,
is involved in a $1.6 million project to generate electricity from
what is considered “low temperature” geothermal water. Check out
the story in yesterday’s edition of the online magazine Government Technology.
Michael Mayda of Thermal
Systems in Silverdale describes a geothermal heat pump in a new
Bainbridge Island home.
Kitsap Sun photo
“The city, with its high-desert landscape, sits above natural
geothermal springs, which residents have used for 100 years to heat
their homes,” states the article by Russell Nichols. “Hot rocks and
geysers keep the sidewalks warm when the winter comes and pump heat
into buildings downtown.”
The article goes on to describe a low-temperature geothermal
power plant proposed for Klamath Falls that was pioneered at Chena
Hot Springs in Alaska. For a description of the Chena project,
involving United Technologies Corporation, see the For
Your Own Power Web site.
While geothermal electricity is exciting technology, what caught
my attention was a federal residential tax credit that will pay 30
percent of the cost of solar, wind, fuel cell … and, yes,
geothermal systems. I pursued geothermal heat pumps in a story I
wrote for
Sunday’s Kitsap Sun.
The unlimited tax credit makes it feasible to consider
geothermal heat pumps in many new home installations. Furthermore,
an additional $1,500 rebate from Puget Sound Energy opens the door
to consider them when replacing old heating systems, especially for
large homes.
In addition to my Sunday story, these resources may help you
understand the operations and benefits of geothermal heat
pumps: Continue reading →