Despite millions of dollars spent on research in Hood Canal, the
precise causes of low-oxygen problems in Southern Hood Canal are
still not fully understood, according to a report released this
week by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and the Washington
Department of Ecology.
News articles about the report have created some confusion, and
I’ll get to that in a moment.
As I reported in
Tuesday’s Kitsap Sun, research has not proven that nitrogen
from human sources is responsible for a decline in oxygen levels
greater than 0.2 milligrams per liter anywhere in Hood Canal. That
number is important, because it is the regulatory threshold for
action under the Clean Water Act.
Mindy Roberts, one of the authors of the report, told me that
scientists who have worked on the low-oxygen problem have gained an
appreciation for Hood Canal’s exceedingly complex physical and
biological systems. So far, they have not come to consensus about
how much human inputs of nitrogen contribute to the low-oxygen
problems in Lower Hood Canal.
The report, which examined the complexity and scientific
uncertainty about these systems, seems to have generated some
confusion, even among news reporters. I think it is important to
understand two fundamental issues:
1. The deep main channel of Hood Canal is almost like a separate
body of water from Lower Hood Canal (also called Lynch Cove in some
reports). This area is generally defined as the waters between
Sisters Point and Belfair. Because Lower Hood Canal does not flush
well, low-oxygen conditions there are an ongoing and very serious
problem.
2. Fish kills around Hoodsport cannot be equated or even closely
correlated with the low-oxygen conditions in Lower Hood Canal. The
cause of these fish kills was not well understood a decade ago, but
now researchers generally agree that heavy seawater coming in from
the ocean pushes up a layer of low-oxygen water. When winds from
the south blow away the surface waters, the low-oxygen water rises
to the surface, leaving fish no place to go.
I’m not aware that researchers were blaming nitrogen from septic
systems for the massive episodic fish kills, as Craig Welch reports
in the
Seattle Times. At least in recent years, most researchers have
understood that this was largely a natural phenomenon and that
human sources of nitrogen played a small role, if any, during a
fish kill.
The question still being debated is how much (or how little)
humans contribute to the low-oxygen level in the water that is
pushed to the surface during a fish kill and whether there is a
significant flow of low-oxygen water out of Lower Hood Canal, where
oxygen conditions are often deadly at the bottom.
The new report, which was reviewed by experts from across the
country, concludes that fish kills can be explained fully without
considering any human sources of nitrogen. Evidence that low-oxygen
water flows out of Lower Hood Canal in the fall is weak, the report
says, though it remains a subject of some debate.
“We have not demonstrated that mechanism to their satisfaction,”
Jan Newton of the Hood Canal Dissolved Oxygen Program told me in an
interview. “We never said it caused the fish kill, only that it can
reduce the oxygen level below what it was. In some years, it
wouldn’t matter, but in some years it would make it worse.”
A
cover letter (PDF 83 kb) to the EPA/Ecology reports includes
this:
“While the draft report concludes that although human-caused
pollution does not cause or contribute to the fish kills near
Hoodsport, our agencies strongly support additional protections to
ensure that nitrogen and bacteria loadings from human development
are minimized.
“Water quality concerns extend beyond low dissolved oxygen and
include bacteria and other pathogens that limit shellfish health.
Overall, human impacts to Hood Canal water quality vary from place
to place and at different times of year. Hood Canal is a very
sensitive water body and people living in the watershed should
continue their efforts to minimize human sources of pollution.”
One of the most confounding factors is the large amount of
nitrogen born by ocean water that flows along the bottom of Hood
Canal. An unresolved but critical questions is: How much of that
nitrogen reaches the surface layer, where it can trigger plankton
growth in the presence of sunlight?
Plankton growth is a major factor in the decline of oxygen
levels, because plankton eventually die and decay, consuming oxygen
in the process.
Human sources of nitrogen often enter Hood Canal at the surface,
but researchers disagree on how much of the low-oxygen problem can
be attributed to heavy seawater that reaches the sunny euphotic
zone near the surface.
Here are the principal findings in the EPA/Ecology report,
“Review and Synthesis of Available Information to Estimate Human
Impacts to Dissolved Oxygen in Hood Canal” (PDF 3.8 mb).
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