Retail data: Americans remained cautious in July
August 4th, 2010 by Rachel PritchettNEW YORK (AP) — Worried about the stalling economic recovery,
Americans remained reluctant to spend at stores in July, especially
on pricier items like jewelry, though they let go of some money for
travel, according to data released Wednesday.
Revenue from high-end jewelry, which had held steady in June,
plummeted in July from a year earlier, when the figures already
were dismal. Furniture also suffered as the boost from homebuyer
tax credits wore off. Shoppers even pulled back on shoes and
children’s clothing, while luxury spending — excluding baubles —
was virtually unchanged.
The figures from MasterCard Advisors’ SpendingPulse, which include
transactions in all forms including cash, signal that spending
remains choppy as shoppers grapple with an almost 10 percent
unemployment rate and tight credit.
Online revenue offered one bright spot, gaining for the 12th
straight month. But travel spending — including airlines, trains,
rental cars and hotels — also rose from July 2009, when it fell
almost 2 percent.
The second-straight month with weak luxury sales contrasts with
earlier in the year when the wealthy spent a bit more freely. The
Standard & Poor’s 500 stock index has tumbled 9.5 percent since
its high-water mark in late April, and home values fell 3.2 percent
in the first quarter, according to the Standard &
Poor’s/Case-Shiller 20-city home-price index.
The latest data from SpendingPulse follows government reports,
released Tuesday, that also show consumers being picky about how
they spend their money. The Commerce Department said personal
spending was unchanged in June, the third straight lackluster
month. And the personal savings rate rose to 6.4 percent of
after-tax incomes in June.
“The tide (in spending) doesn’t seem to be rising overall,” said
Michael McNamara, vice president of research and analysis for
SpendingPulse. “There hasn’t been a consistent improvement that has
been sustainable.”
Instead, shoppers seem to be shifting their spending more than
usual each month, he said, including extra movement in July away
from discretionary items.
“Recoveries tend to not happen in straight lines,” he said. “We are
in a trough, but the question is, how long will the trough
last?”
July marks the end of most retailers’ fiscal second quarter. But
it’s the least important month in the quarter because stores use it
to clear out summer leftovers and bring in fresh fall
merchandise.
This year, stores discounted more than planned in July on summer
items to pull in recession-scarred shoppers, whose confidence in
the economy is falling.
Here are SpendingPulse’s figures comparing revenue for July 4
through July 31 with the same period a year earlier, by product
category.
— CLOTHING (at mall-based stores): Overall clothing sales slipped
1.1 percent from a year ago, when they dropped 5.2 percent.
Children’s clothing fell 3.7 percent, the first decline in 10
months. Revenue in women’s clothing fell 1.9 percent, while men’s
clothing sales dropped 16.3 percent.
— FOOTWEAR: Down 2.9 percent from a year ago when revenue fell 7.4
percent.
— LUXURY: Excluding jewelry, revenue rose a meager 0.2 percent,
compared with a year ago when business was down 16.3 percent.
— JEWELRY: Down 1.2 percent overall. But at the high-end revenue
dropped 13 percent, compounding a 13.3 percent decline a year
ago.
— FURNITURE: Down 8.2 percent from a year ago, when business fell
10.5 percent. July’s decline marked three straight months of
decreases after a surge early in the year as the category benefited
from housing tax credits.
— MAJOR APPLIANCES: Up 1.8 percent in July from a year ago when
revenue fell almost 10 percent. The increase may have been due to
the hot weather which drove air conditioner sales, McNamara
said.
— ELECTRONICS: Up 0.8 percent in July compared with July 2009’s
15.4 percent drop. McNamara said that heavy discounting on TVs to
make room for the latest models offset solid sales of newer
products like Apple Inc. iPads.
— ONLINE: Up 10.9 percent in July from a year ago when it fell 2.8
percent from July 2008.
The data comes a day before selected major retailers report on
sales at their stores that have been open at least a year,
considered a key indicator of chains’ health because it excludes
results from stores that open or close during the year.
Michael P. Niemira, chief economist at International Council of
Shopping Centers, said he expects his group’s composite figure to
rise between 3 percent and 4 percent. Last July, it fell 5
percent.


Scripps Interactive Newspapers Group
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