9 thoughts on “Who is the most vulnerable incumbent?

  1. Sorry I didn’t give you that option, RM. Maybe I will do a federal one in a week or two.

    Steven Gardner
    Kitsap Caucus Galluperator

  2. I voted for Finn/Simpson.

    You seem to have better racezs in the southern end of the county also. It is a lock in in the north basically. Regardless if it is a good candidate or poor, put a R by the name the statistic at election time is about the same . Not many swing voters at all.

  3. Mick, some of that is true. Sheeple will be sheeple in both parties. The ground swell of independent thinkers amongst the 9-12 and Tea Party groups (the real ones not the astroturf ones created by leading Republicans when they failed in attempts to overtake and run some existing groups) is growing. It really is. Some Republican candidates are slipping in the same districts where others are booming.

    I am not the only one of my conservative ilk that supports a mixed bag of candidates, I am just more public in my talking about it. I am finding more and more conservatives like me every day. Tired of the Party vote simply for the sake of the Party vote. Vote entitlement is not just a liberal problem anymore.

  4. yes I would agree with that Colleen . I voted and supported Steve Bauer, and I still get questions from people asking me questions thinking I am still part of the republican Party. So I have changed also along the lines you speak. One time I would have been a automatic republican vote .

    But in the north end I noticed even the vote for the new taxing park district was about the same percentage the tow democrats hot over the republicans.

    I think locally the bigger problem is the good old boys “bureaucracy” we have inside county and other local governments . The entitlement and power they promote among themselves really makes it hard for the elected reps we have in my opinion.

  5. Yes. That is true. The same people do tend to rotate not just amoungst the more visible elected positions but behind the scenes as well and in multiple positions on local boards of directors for major community organizations.

  6. Are we missing the point about vulnerability in this election? It is rather clear that the majority of local voters, especially those who are currently being vocal through Kitsap Patriot Tea Party (and other Tea Party groups) and similar efforts, are more concerned with candidate core principles rather than Party affiliation. The real interest is toward a return to the size and form of government set forth in the Constitution, complete with a roll back in spending, waste, fraud, abuse of the public trust, and failure of representatives to represent. Very few incumbents are immune from the directed displeasure of Tea Party people. That the trend is sharply more conservative cannot be doubted. Thus, in deciding who is most vulnerable and, conversely, who to support, the answer has to be the incumbent liberal/progressive is most at risk. Incumbents must run on their record and not their rhetoric. I am really amazed about the number of incumbents who have abandoned or forgotten their records during this campaign season. Be mindful that, in Washington, the political parties no longer control the ability of a candidate to use the party label. Any candidate can claim any affiliation. If the definition of “insanity” is to repeat and action with the expectation of a different outcome, then voting for most local incumbents is true insanity. Look to the real record and the core principles and then decide.

  7. Jack-
    You know as well as I that politics is a dirty business. We’ve been there. YOU should know better by now. There is so much more to it than just the core principles or incumbent records.

    You are right that, for this election, the democratic incumbents probably are the ones most at risk. What you are missing is how unfortunate it is that some of the “conservative” candidates who may unseat those incumbents are merely a different kind of wrong or scary. “Most” of them probably “mean well” but that doesn’t mean they won’t continue running us toward the cliff.

    Are you truly weighing all the pros and cons of both incumbent and opposing candidate? I’m afraid that I just see the sheep jumping into a new pasture and not learning anything.

  8. Weighing in late here, but I think the most vulnerable local race is Haigh/Griffey for the 35th Legislative District.

    It was also the most underreported upset in the primary.

    I have much respect for Haigh. She has worked hard on education issues. But, it seems like she hesitated on whether she really wanted to be in the race this time and I think that has showed in her campaign. Her campaign has been playing catch-up lately, but I think it will end up being too little too late.

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