35th on Pace for Recount
August 20th, 2008 by Steven GardnerAs discussed in an earlier post, it’s hard to make predictions based on what happens in the primary. Before we even try, though, let’s do a little calculation on the second spot in the 35th District, Position 1 race. As of tonight, 138 votes separate Republicans Marco Brown and Brad Gehring. You would think that if the ballots came in the way they did tonight, Brown would increase his lead in the end. But that would mean each county had the same percentage of ballots left to count. They don’t.
Mason County has an estimated 2,900 votes uncounted. If the rest of the votes add up the way they did tonight, that would add 155 votes to Brown’s lead, putting him up by 293 votes. In Thurston County Brown would add another 52 votes to his margin, putting him ahead by 345.
Grays Harbor and Kitsap went for Gehring. Again, if numbers play out the way they did with the first batch of ballots, the remaining Grays Harbor ballots would help Gehring reduce Brown’s lead by nine votes, leaving Brown with a 336-vote advantage.
Kitsap County would net Gehring 362 votes over Brown, giving him a 26-vote win. That’s 6,406 for Gehring and 6,383 for Brown. If those figures hold, it would qualify for both a machine and manual recount.
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August 21st, 2008 at 6:45 am
According to the Washington Sec of the State website there are 23,000 votes in Kitsap alone still to be counted.