February isn’t usually a month filled with snowy possibilities,
but this year could potentially prove otherwise as a very cold air
mass from Canada is spilling into the Puget Sound basin as we
speak, setting the stage for a pretty messy wintry transitional
period this weekend.
First, let’s talk temperatures. It’s going to get wickedly cold
around here, at least by Northwest standards. Take a look at
surface temperatures Wednesday morning at around 7:00 am (darker
purple is low 20s, lighter purple is mid teens):
Alas, there isn’t a warm spot to be found in the Northwest.
Literally every community in Washington State will be caught
anywhere between the single digits to low 20s Wednesday
But somewhat surprisingly, we don’t move a whole lot in the
temperature department throughout the day. Here are afternoon high
temperatures at 4:00 PM Wednesday (dark blue represents
temperatures in the mid to upper 20s):
Although this model may be overdoing
it in the cold department, it is reasonable to suppose high
temperatures may struggle to reach freezing over the next couple of
days as that cold Canadian air becomes fully entrenched.
But of course most of you are
wondering about the snow. It’s been hard to get a decent snow
around here, especially since very few of our cold snaps this year
have ended with precipitation. However, much of the peninsula
stands a chance of seeing at least some snow Saturday
night into Sunday before that mild marine influence rains on our
What you are seeing is about 1/2-1″ of
snow for much of the peninsula, with perhaps as much as 2″ closer
to Mason County. These snow totals have been all over the place,
though, with one model advertising nearly 4″ near the Hood Canal.
At this point, I believe it is safe to say that seeing some
snowflakes this weekend is a good bet, but just how much is still
up in the air.
The long range looks pretty seasonable
at this point, with high temperatures getting closer to 50 degrees
by early next week.
Enjoy the cold and dry weather if you
can! Stay tuned to the Forecasting Kitsap blog for more updates as
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