Forecasting Kitsap

Aspiring weatherman Matthew Leach talks about the complex and intricate weather patterns over Kitsap.
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Kitsap to be among the wettest in Western Washington by Monday

November 17th, 2012 by Matthew Leach

Well, there’s a minor tweak to the forecast I issued a few days ago. You know how I said it would be a typically wet Thanksgiving this year? Well, that forecast still stands, but it’s the days preceding Thanksgiving that have turned out to be a little more tedious than first expected.

The NWS in Seattle has issued a special weather statement on the soaking wet weather pattern to affect the area today through Wednesday, perhaps lasting into Thanksgiving Day itself. We are used to all the rain, so what’s the big deal? Let’s take a look at the 24 hour rainfall totals ending Monday at 4 pm:

Remember about a month ago when we observed a map that looked similar to this? Well, it has arrived again, and this time about 85% of the Kitsap Peninsula will be under the possibility of receiving anywhere from 2.56-5.12” of rain…in 24 hours.

So the real heavy rain (and breezy conditions, although we’re not looking at a windstorm by any means) will arrive Sunday evening and continue until late Monday. And, with the mild temperatures associated with this storm, the mountains will be on the verge of rain and rain/snow. Frequent systems will plow through the area until Thanksgiving itself, making skies cloudy and the ground sopping wet. Travel plans shouldn’t be too hectic after Monday, so if you can hold off until after the worst of the storm hits things will probably move a little smoother.

After Thanksgiving, rain will still be an issue (isn’t it always?! ;)), but things won’t be nearly as dramatic. This should spell good news for all those anticipating Black Friday sales! But get there early, as the rain jackets will likely be sold out early 😉

Have a great weekend!

Matthew Leach

Forecasting Kitsap


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2 Responses to “Kitsap to be among the wettest in Western Washington by Monday”

  1. Shawn Says:

    Lovin it..I predicted earlier,that we would have at least 4 storms by the end of Nov.Even though thats a pretty safe prediction,looks like Im on track.

  2. Matthew Leach Says:

    You DID call it, Shawn! Kudos :) To be honest, up until a couple months ago I was expecting an El Nino, and those usually aren’t too friendly to wind and rainstorms! But with the neutral pattern set up, anything is game!

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