Forecasting Kitsap

Aspiring weatherman Matthew Leach talks about the complex and intricate weather patterns over Kitsap.
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Archive for November 10th, 2012

23 degrees last night and October 2012 weather stats

Saturday, November 10th, 2012
Matthew Charchenko Photography (2012)

Photo showing the effects of freezing fog by: Matthew Charchenko. For more great pictures, check out his Facebook page! http://www.facebook.com/CharchenkoPhotography

November is certainly showing us who’s boss! Many Kitsap locations recorded lows in the LOW 20s last night (most specifically, 23 degrees at Bremerton Airport)! Although not too professional of me to say, I absolutely bombed that one. And I mean big time. But rest assured, tonight will not get that cold. A system moving onshore will actually spread clouds in tonight offering a cold rain for tomorrow morning, which could be mixed with snow initially on local hills.

Ok, so I’m a little late in posting this, but better late than never! So, by a show of hands, how many of you felt like this October was…well, freakishly wet? Yeah, I thought so. Let’s just cut to the chase here. Bremerton records had us at 11.58” of rain for the month. That’s over 7” above normal! Ah, but we knew it was wet. How about temperatures? However cold it might have felt this past month, it was only slightly deceiving.

Lest we forget, rewinding to the beginning of last month bring us to highs in the 70s—and several of them at that! But of course, this pleasant weather really only lasted a week before rain dumped on us like buckets from heaven. You’ll be interested to see the temperature map! If this were a roller coaster at Wild Waves, it would be among the most popular at the park!

Putting this all into perspective, here’s the temperature rundown:

OCTOBER HIGH/LOW TEMPERATURE AVERAGE: 55.8/40.6

OCTOBER HIGH/LOW TEMPERATURE ACTUAL: 57.7/42.0

OCTOBER MEAN TEMPERATURE AVERAGE: 48.2

OCTOBER MEAN TEMPERATURE ACTUAL: 49.8

So, as a whole, October averaged about 1.6 degrees above normal. This was due in large part to the warm period early last month and a series of very mild low temperatures.

In comparison to my Fall 2012 forecast, I predicted a milder and drier than normal October with mountain snow and periods of chilly weather in the lowlands. Overall, however, my forecast called for a fairly tame month. My biggest bomb was, of course, in regards to precipitation. We were MUCH wetter than anticipated. However, the mountain snow, chilly lowland temperatures, and overall tame month prediction was pretty accurate.

My mean October temperature prediction: 49.1 degrees compared to the actual of 49.8 degrees. So not TOO bad ;)

Well fellow Kitsapites, it’s time for a weekend break :) But I wish you all a safe and fun weekend! See you back here on Monday!

Matthew Leach

Forecasting Kitsap

E-mail: forecastingkitsap@live.com




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