Daily Archives: June 2, 2012

Long Range Thoughts: Warmer weather coming, but cool conditions to continue for now

So much for mowing the lawn…

The doppler radar shows pockets of rain showers all along the peninsula, and one of the heavier cells happened to rest over my home in Silverdale long enough to make the grass too damp to mow at the present moment. Just moments before the rain started, I went out to take advantage of the fact the grass was actually drying after yesterday’s evening rain showers! Yes, although it’s June, we are still technically in the “spring showers” season and will be for the foreseeable future, which for most weather models is 16 days.

Long range weather projections show us getting near 2” of rain in the next two weeks or so which would be above the normal 1.49” for the month of June. Although I wasn’t here to experience the 2010 or 2011 summers, looking at historical records, it appears these were two unusually cool and wet summers, particularly the months of June and July, and both these years had cool and wet May’s that overlapped into June. But, the summer weather always seemed to make a comeback in the months of August and September, particularly in 2010.

We may be singing the same tune we’ve been singing for the past two years: a cool start to summer, but the warmer weather will arrive. Currently the forecast models show a cool and showery pattern over the next week or so with highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s, whereas the normal high temperature is around 70 degrees. It doesn’t appear we’ll crack 70 until maybe the week after next (15th-17th of June) when a ridge of high pressure builds in and provides warmer, drier air to the area. But even then, temperatures by that time will be around average in the low to mid 70s.

My summer long range forecast is coming! I’m still doing some research in between my busy work schedule, but I should have that issued within the next week or so.

Stay well everyone and have a great weekend,

Matthew Leach

Forecasting Kitsap