Daily Archives: January 11, 2010

30 Years of Global Cooling Are Coming, Leading Scientist Says


Photo: NASA Earth Observatory

December temperatures compared to average December temps recorded between 2000 and 2008. Blue points to colder than average land surface temperatures, while red indicates warmer temperatures.

Oh great…first warming now cooling?! Hmmm…well, I think the public is going to be a bit more receptive to a “mini ice age” scare than a global warming one given the handful of record cold winters this past decade…that is, until we go through a series of global heatwaves during the summer. Is it news the pendulum keeps swinging? That the weather does, in fact, go through cycles? Take this article for what it’s worth.


FOXNews.com report—From Miami to Maine, Savannah to Seattle, America is caught in an icy grip that one of the U.N.’s top global warming proponents says could mark the beginning of a mini ice age.

Oranges are freezing and millions of tropical fish are dying in Florida, and it could be just the beginning of a decades-long deep freeze, says Professor Mojib Latif, one of the world’s leading climate modelers.

Latif thinks the cold snap Americans have been suffering through is only the beginning. He says we’re in for 30 years of cooler temperatures — a mini ice age, he calls it, basing his theory on an analysis of natural cycles in water temperatures in the world’s oceans.

Latif, a professor at the Leibniz Institute at Germany’s Kiel University and an author of the U.N.’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report, believes the lengthy cold weather is merely a pause — a 30-years-long blip — in the larger cycle of global warming, which postulates that temperatures will rise rapidly over the coming years.

At a U.N. conference in September, Latif said that changes in ocean currents known as the North Atlantic Oscillation could dominate over manmade global warming for the next few decades. Latif said the fluctuations in these currents could also be responsible for much of the rise in global temperatures seen over the past 30 years.

Latif is a key member of the UN’s climate research arm, which has long promoted the concept of global warming. He told the Daily Mail that “a significant share of the warming we saw from 1980 to 2000 and at earlier periods in the 20th Century was due to these cycles — perhaps as much as 50 percent.”

The U.S. National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSICD) agrees that the cold temperatures are unusual, and that the world’s oceans may play a part in temperatures on land.

“Has ocean variability contributed to variations in surface temperature? Absolutely, no one’s denying that,” said Mark Serreze, senior research scientist with NSIDC. But the Center disagrees with Latif’s conclusions, instead arguing that the cold snap is still another sign of global warming.

“We are indeed starting to see the effects of the rise in greenhouse gases,” he said.

Many parts of the world have been suffering through record-setting snowfalls and arctic temperatures. The Midwest saw wind chills as low as 49 degrees below zero last week, while Europe saw snows so heavy that Eurostar train service and air travel were canceled across much of the continent. In Asia, Beijing was hit by its heaviest snowfall in 60 years.

And as for the cold weather?

“This is just the roll of the dice, the natural variability inherent to the system,” explained Serreze.

Hurricane Force Winds in Oregon and a Snowy Scene in Florida

I’m really not sure what 100 MPH wind FEELS like, but I saw this video on a weather forum produced by Steve Pierce of the Oregon AMS (American Meteorological Society) that illustrates at least what 100 MPH wind LOOKS like on January 7th, 2010.

Professor Cliff Mass describes the unusual gusty Columbia Rover Gorge Winds like this: “The wind action of the past few days has been caused by a large pressure difference across the Cascades, a difference that has some connection with the frigid, cold air in the eastern half of the U.S.”

So at least the PNW made SOME weather headlines this month in relation to severe weather, but we still haven’t had a whole lot of action in these parts. Heck, look at this recent picture from central Florida!


How embarassing…Seattle has yet to experience a scene like that this winter!

And look at this incredible temperature profile in the southeastern portion of the U.S. at about 10:53 am Saturday morning EST:


20 degrees in Dallas! 29 in Brownsville! 35 in Tampa! 19 in Atlanta! 45 in Miami! All taking place an hour before noon time. This is some wicked cold, and the PNW has been (thankfully?) robbed from not just the worst of it but from ANY of it. We’ve been stuck under the influence of a nasty S/SE flow which has been bringing copious amounts of rain and much above normal temperatures since the beginning of this month.

This week looks like a classic El Nino gloom fest, but there are definite signs of a dramatic shift to our weather pattern later this month…and I’m talkin’ consistency, folks. Historically, late Jan/early Feb is the best time to receive historic cold and/or snow around here. We’ll see.

For now, stay dry and hold your breath! We won’t be coming up for air until maybe later this week.

Matthew Leach

Forecasting Kitsap

Questions? Comments? E-mail me at: forecastingkitsap@live.com