Winter Break Forecast and Gift Sending Tips

It’s been awhile since I’ve blogged…this week has been a very busy and, at times, stressful one for me but finally things are slowing down and I’m getting ready for a family Christmas trip to Salt Lake City, UT. The latest forecasting trends indicate a white Christmas for me, but how about here in Western Washington?

It was requested that I do a blog post about the next two weeks of weather from now until January 4th since the students are out of school on winter break. It would be awesome to add some snow to the mix between now and then! So let’s see what we have:

Sunday, December 20th–Saturday December 26th: The week leading up to Christmas looks to be on the cooler side of normal with periods of rain and mountain snow. Unfortunately, a white Christmas isn’t looking likely. There were some indications Monday into Tuesday we could see some lowland snow, but that thought has faded. Sure seems like so far in the cold department, we’ve been rocking the socks off of history, but we can’t manage some decent lowland snow! At least…not during this week…

Sunday, December 27th–Saturday January 2nd: This week looks, and has been looking, pretty interesting. Obviously this is so far out in long range land that to say anything for certain would be a big mistake, but from what I’ve observed if we’re going to have any snow chances during winter break, it’d be during the second half. It appears colder (and even, at times, moist) weather regime will make an appearance after Christmas. The atmosphere has been and will likely be in a “La Nina-like” state until mid January, so seeing series of colder weather systems affecting the region at this time makes sense.

To sum it up, the first half of winter break will feature coolish/wet periods but overall it’s what we’ve grown to expect here in the Northwest. The second half of winter break offers the best chance at seeing some of the white stuff as the cold and wet weather continues.

Also, friends of mine and fellow blog readers Colleen and Jason Smidt, asked that a few gentle reminders be given concerning shipping and receiving gifts this season to make your life and the lives of the FedEx/UPS men, Jason being one himself, easier. Thanks to Colleen for compiling this helpful list:

#1.  Order early and ship out early.

#2.  Do not rely on expedited services such as last minute Next Day Air and Second Day Air to get your packages to you on time. Not only are they WAY more expensive but a Vendor that you order from can promise one thing, but unexpected delays in processing and weather can easily lead to another reality all together.  Last year comes to easily to mind.

#3.  Talk with your delivery person. Communicate to them in advance large bulky or perishable items coming in and the location where you would like the items left if you will not be home or they do not require a signature.

#4.  Have items shipped to your daytime work place if at all possible. Not only does this alleviate any peeking or guessing by the kids, but you know expensive, temperature sensitive items are not sitting outside on your porch exposed to the elements for hours at a time.

#5.  Remember that while delivery drivers will try to accommodate you whenever possible, they are still under certain restrictions by their employers with either time allowances or specific routes they need to adhere to per company policy or risk losing their jobs.
Be patient.  Start times in the mornings are constantly being adjusted and moved to later times to accommodate air deliveries coming into the center.

#6.  Expect longer lines for service. The UPS Center on Werner Road has the following hours of operation:

Hours of Operation
Mon-Fri: 2:00pm-6:00pm;
Sat, Sun: Closed

#7.  Be safe. Delivery drivers and their helpers spend long hours out on their routes during the month of December.  It is not uncommon for many of them to be out on the roads until very late at night in weather conditions that are adverse and makes it difficult for other drivers to spot them.  Company policy dictates that they wear a specific uniform in dark colors which also does not help.  Keep pets and children away from the trucks and out of the streets.  Especially during snowy times.

And most of all BE NICE and know that they are doing their best to get your packages to you during the day and return home safely to their own families at night.  It is the season of Peace and Forgiveness.

My blog posts will be rather infrequent between Tuesday the 22nd and Sunday the 27th, but I will try to update this thing as much as possibile, especially if any wrinkles enter the forecasting models 😉

Have a fabulous weekend,

Matthew Leach

Forecasting Kitsap

Questions? Comments? E-mail me at:



60 thoughts on “Winter Break Forecast and Gift Sending Tips

  1. Merry Christmas Matt to you and your family!

    Also,Merry Christmas to all of Matt’s readers here as well!!

  2. Bummer on the nonwhite xmas! My husband works for FedEx, so thanks for those points! I’ve barely seen him in the last 2 weeks, next week will be even worse!

    Have a very Merry Christmas everyone! And pray for snow! 🙂

  3. Thank you, Shawn and Kris! I too wish you and your family the best. Here’s to a Merry Christmas and Happy New Year!

    Kris: Yeah, I was really hoping we could see some snow before xmas…the past few years we’ve been spoiled 😉 Who knows…maybe the system on Monday will trend colder! If not, I’m confident we’ll get some snow before winter is through.

  4. Thanks Matt. Have safe travels. A very Merry Christmas to you and your family from ours!

    Colleen, Jason & Nick Smidt

  5. Thank you, Colleen! The weather looks great on the way there AND back with snow while we’re there. Couldn’t have timed it any better!

    Here’s wishing you a Merry Christmas and Happy New Year,


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