**WINTER STORM WATCH for Hood Canal Area in Effect Monday**
December 13th, 2009 by Matthew Leach
This could be the wintry scene tomorrow afternoon
**A WINTER STORM WATCH has been issued by the National Weather Service which goes into effect Monday afternoon through Monday evening.**
Ah, well it was only a matter of time, right? I respect the NWS, but I don’t always agree with their forecasts. This is one of those times where I disagree with their report. I’ll paste it here in a moment, but I’ve been watching a few developments this afternoon that is giving me the impression the Kitsap Peninsula may see longer lasting snow than the NWS is advertising:
1. Cold air filtering through the Fraser River Valley is increasing and the temperature is dropping. It takes quite a lot to scour out all the cold air we’ve stored.
2. The precip will be quite heavy, meaning further cooling of the atmosphere. This will allow snow to keep going likely until early Tuesday morning which will make traffic hectic.
3. We will have cold, east winds in our favor, yet again prologing our cold and increasing our precipitation.
Again, those sitting nice and snug next to the Canal will see the most snow (4-10” potentially). Those away from the Canal (Silverdale/Bremerton areas) will likely see accumulating snow, but will probably change to rain quicker and see lesser amounts. Those without much elevation or living next to large areas of water will likely see just a mix of non-accumulating rain/snow. This is a very marginal event, especially with warmer air rushing in behind this system.
Here are my projected snowfall totals:
These are just my thoughts. I’ll be giving updates through the day tomorrow, so we’ll watch how this progresses together. Here’s the NWS’s statement. Be careful out there.
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE HOOD CANAL AREA FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SEATTLE HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. * SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE HOOD CANAL AREA DURING THE MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING TIME FRAME. * SNOW WILL INCREASE MONDAY AFTERNOON AND PERSIST THROUGH MONDAY EVENING AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONTAL SYSTEM. UPSLOPE OR EASTERLY FLOW MAY RESULT IN LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW AT TIMES. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER TO RAIN BY LATE MONDAY EVENING AS WARMER AIR INVADES THE AREA. * ANTICIPATE THE POSSIBILITY OF DIFFICULT DRIVING CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW ON THE ROADS OR POOR VISIBILITY AT TIMES MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING.
Matthew Leach
Forecasting Kitsap
Questions? Comments? E-mail me at: forecastingkitsap@live.com
EXTENDED
FORECAST (coming later this evening)
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Scripps Interactive Newspapers Group
December 13th, 2009 at 9:05 pm
NWS? They had their chance. We have been listening to those punks for a number of years, because we had no other option, and they rarely get it right. We have you now Matt, for all of our Kitsap Forecasting needs. NWS? Who needs them?
P.S. We are a house divided. The “Boy” is VERY disappointed in the lack of snow forecast. The “UPS Man” on the other hand is VERY relieved. Me? I get to be lucky enough to hear one of them grouching about it.(smile)
December 13th, 2009 at 10:52 pm
Hoping for a nice punch of snow tomorrow! We got some good flurries, but want MORE!
December 14th, 2009 at 12:30 am
As long as I’m not living on the ridge over the Hood Canal any longer (and I don’t have to drive a 1/2 mile switchback road to the top), it can snow its little heart out!
December 14th, 2009 at 1:29 am
Matt, I never got one single drop of snow and won`t get some tmr.
Am i done with snow for the year?
December 14th, 2009 at 10:27 am
Colleen: Haha, yeah they are a bunch of punks, aren’t they?
They’re the ones with degrees though. But even they can make mistakes! I hope you see some snow today…enough to make your son happy and your husband’s UPS routes safe!
Kris and Kelly: You both seem to be in the sweet spots for at least SOME action today!
Eric: Remember…it’s not even officially winter yet. You’ll have PLENTY of chances
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