Forecasting Kitsap

Aspiring weatherman Matthew Leach talks about the complex and intricate weather patterns over Kitsap.
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Long Range Outlook: A Peek Into Novembrrrrr

October 24th, 2009 by Matthew Leach

So here we are. Heading into the last week of October and we’re going to end with a bang! But as we end this month, there are already clues next month could be just as interesting.

First of all, other than typical Washington rain early this next week, models have been hinting at a possible windstorm or cold rain storm Thursday. The details obviously have to be ironed out, but either way it looks like an active day. If temperatures pan out the way they are forecasted, we could be looking at not only some chilly temperatures in the lowlands, but substantial snow in the mountains. You’ll definitely want to stay tuned to the details because this could be our first significant weather event of the season.

Halloween at this point looks a bit showery and cold, but long range models have been insisting on a much colder than normal weather pattern to take hold at the beginning of November. The thing is, there are differences in precipitation during this time period. It could either be really wet and cold or very dry and cold, but either way there is a strong signal for below normal temperatures.

Could this be a sign of things to come this winter? Definitely too soon to tell…historically, early season cold snaps aren’t good signs. It’s almost as if all the cold air is “wasted” too early in the season so by the time winter comes around there’s “nothing left”.

So, to recap, here are the things to watch for during the upcoming week

  • Stormy end of the month with a potential windstorm in the lowlands and snowstorm in the mountains on Thursday
  • Colder than normal temperatures this week, especially later on
  • An active and cold beginning to November.

Remember to stay tuned to this blog for weather updates! Have a great weekend,

Matthew Leach

Forecasting Kitsap

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49 Responses to “Long Range Outlook: A Peek Into Novembrrrrr”

  1. Matt C. Says:

    NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO Matt that is not a good sign not as much snow means sad matt but im excited if there is a windstorm i was seeing that on both the EURO and GFS and NAMS models

  2. Matthew Leach Says:

    Not a good sign? Typically we get snow around here by late November/early December, so don’t become too bummed! Remember, it’s also an El Nino year, so don’t expect piles and piles of snow this year 😉

    Also, it looks like the windstorm potential is dwindling, but I’ll still keep an eye on it.

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