The Higher We Climb, the Harder We Fall


Sorry about the “Danny Downer” title, but I couldn’t help thinking as I was cleaning up spit and blood at the orthodontics office that:

  1. This massive ridge sitting over us HAS to end sometime


     2. When it does end, what follows will probably be pretty dramatic.

I’m not intentionally being pessimistic here, I’m just stating what has historically happened in our area. Think about it: very dry and benign fall 2008 followed by the coldest and snowiest December in 20 years… a hot summer and warm fall in 2006 followed by the wettest November on record preceeding a blast of arctic air and snow, then flooding…the list continues.

Mother Nature seems set on keeping the pendulum swinging around here and I think the “swing back” will happen relatively soon, at least by the end of this month.

Models have been advertising some pretty chilly air around the last week or so of this month which would be on par with my 2009 Fall Forecast prediction. We’ll see if it ends up happening, but remember: each day we continue with this warm ridge of high pressure, the more I’m thinking we’ll make up for it later this fall into the winter. Our only saving grace will be the El Nino, but 1997-1998, the strongest El Nino on record, delivered arctic cold and very wet weather as well…

Now that we’re all depressed, let’s get to the 7 day forecast! The rest of the week looks pretty seasonable with partly sunny skies, light showers at times and highs in the mid 70s.

This weekend looks seasonably cool with highs dropping a little in the upper 60s/low 70s with some rain on Saturday but early next week there are signs we’ll hit the 80s with blazing sunshine…again. It just doesn’t seem to end!

Enjoy! 🙂

Matthew Leach

Forecasting Kitsap

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