**WEATHER NEWS ALERT**
Stay tuned for a post this evening about a possible impressive heatwave by the end of this month. Long range models have been advertising some extreme heat in our area, and this time it looks like it could last a while.
Let me take a moment here to comment on some weird weather anomalies happening in areas other than Kitsap County.
Joe Bastardi, long range weather forecaster for AccuWeather.com, released a forecast in May about the Northeast suffering a “year without summer”. He made sure to note that this didn’t mean the whole summer season would be shot, but for the most part it would be an unusually cold, wet summer. I’m not typically a fan of AccuWeather’s forecasts, but because they tend to be Northeast biased in their forecasting, any forecasts that take place on the east coast have a better chance of verifying.
And boy is his forecast spot on so far. Here are some interesting statistics I found about on a weather forum describing the summer in portions of the Northeast so far:
“- We are halfway through meteorological summer, and NYC’s hottest temp has been 84. That is their average high right now. In addition, this was the first June since 1916 they failed to hit 85. July 1916 then turned hot, though…NYC has never gone this deep into a summer without hitting 85.
– Similarly, since June 1 Chicago has had three times as many days in the 60s (12) as 90s (4). Their highest temperature in July so far is 84.
– Boston has had only 5 80+ days since June 1. Their average high right now is 82.
– Portland, ME, whose average high is 79 right now, has not topped that temp yet this summer. In fact, they have had more days fail to hit 65 than days exceed 75.
– Even normally sultry Washington DC has only managed a high of 91 so far this summer. And they have had just as many days in the 60s (3) as 90s (3).”
And looking at the long range, their cool summer looks to continue. Such a weird year!
But I suppose we can’t say we’ve had it THAT bad here! Looking outside, you may feel a teensy bit despressed to find a blanket of gray shielding the golden orb we like to call “the Sun”. Don’t worry! The cloud layer is much thinner this morning and by this afternoon we *should* be back in the sunshine and highs will spike into the mid and upper 70s. We get a taste of the 80s with mostly sunny skies Wednesday through Friday before we gradually cool down again and do a repeat preformance of this week for next week: clouds and possible rain developing Sunday into early next week.
The program I’ve been using to construct my weather forecast maps is not working currently, so unfortunately I can’t provide a map right now. I’ll just do a text forecast below.
Again, stay tuned this evening for a special look at the long range, which seems to have some very interesting weather in store for later this month.
Matthew Leach
Forecasting Kitsap
7 DAY FORECAST (text verison)
Tuesday- AM clouds, afternoon sun 75/51
Wednesday- Mostly sunny 80/54
Thursday- Mostly sunny 84/55
Friday- Mostly sunny 85/56
Saturday- 78/54 Increasing clouds; partly sunny
Sunday- 74/52 Mostly cloudy with showers possible
Monday- 72/51 Mostly cloudy with showers
Joe Bastardi is a complete fraud.
Dr. Rick Monday, a professor of climatology at Bemidji State University, predicted in December 2008 and again in April that 2009 would mirror 1743 and be “a year without summer,” particularly in the Upper Midwest.
http://www.92kqrs.com/article.asp?id=1365402&SPID=6546
Jim—
Are you saying Mr. Bastardi copied Dr. Monday’s research? That is more than likely not the case. Meteorologists all look at the same models and material, and what Bastardi saw is likely what Monday saw and they both came to the same conclusion. It’s like saying I’m a fraud because I’m predicting a big heatwave next week right after Jeff Renner predicted it when in reality we both saw the same thing, just reported it at different times.
However, in most instances I am not a fan of Bastardi’s forecasts. He has an extreme Northeast bias! His Northwest weather predictions are almost always vague and sloppy.
Eric—
Yup, 100’s are in the models, but I agree, 80s and 90s are most likely.
I see it too. I even saw a couple 100`s but i bet they will turn into 80`s and 90`s.
In New England.
My tomatoes, cucumbers, lettuce, other vegthables did not do well this Summer in 2009.
I pray that Northest, Mid Westen in the Great Lakes will have a hot summer in 2010 that will be good for gardeners those who grow their food crops. Hope this summer in 2010 will be a summer for farmers.
Salem, New Hampshire